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When I hear the words “Laffer Curve” I reach for my revolver

Warning, this is a political post. If you don’t want to read about politics, click on one of the other subjects on the menu bar…

In the context of what may or may not be in George Osborne’s budget later this week, I’m hearing a lot of mentions of the infamous Laffer Curve.

The Laffer Curve is a somewhat questionable piece of economic thinking which states, in it’s commonly-used form, that if taxation is raised to a level higher than the rich would really like to pay, then overall revenue will fall because the rich then won’t work as hard. Such an idea has obvious appeal to the types that take Ayn Rand seriously – Indeed, I always associate the term with a particularly noxious right-libertarian troll on the Pyramid Online forums a decade or so ago.

Yes, I can appreciate the hypothesis that there is a point of diminishing returns if a taxation rate is ridiculously high. It’s why nobody today is suggesting a return to Denis Healey’s 98% taxes of the 1970s. But the Lafferites go further than that. They give every appearance of insisting on a completely arbitrary figure as the threshold of diminishing returns, and expect you to accept this in the complete absence of any empirical evidence to support it.

Not that the hard right are any bigger fans of evidence-based economics as they are of evidence-based science. You can see this in their climate change denial. And don’t even get me started on young-earth creationism. This is the sort of intellectual company the Laffer Curve keeps. So why should we take it seriously?

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Freedom of Speech?

There seems to have been an awful lot of outbreaks of really hardcore misogyny in the tech/geek world of late. There have been too many incidents of women in the games scene in particular suffering enormous levels on online abuse by anonymous trolls purely for expressing an opinion not everyone agrees with. Some people have suggested that this sort of behaviour can be found in all walks of life, it does seem to be worse in certain subcultures. Maybe it because the frequently overlapping games and IT worlds tend to attract a disproportionate number of people with very poor social skills?

The latest firestorm concerns a deeply unpleasant individual by the name of Aris Bakhtanians, who justifies some deeply unpleasant and disturbingly creepy behaviour with the following words, here quoted by comic writer and blogger Chris Sims:

Can I get my Street Fighter without sexual harassment?

Bakhtanians: You can’t. You can’t because they’re one and the same thing. This is a community that’s, you know, 15 or 20 years old, and the sexual harassment is part of a culture, and if you remove that from the fighting game community, it’s not the fighting game community

I had never heard of this so-called “fighting games” community before, and if this Aris Bakhtanians is in any way representative of it, it’s not a community which deserves any respect in the wider world. His insincere non-apology doesn’t really change that.

Chris Sims doesn’t mince his words.

“If your community can’t introduce a baseline of respect for another human being without being destroyed, then your community should probably be burned to the ground and have salt spread on the ashes so that it’ll never come back.”

Bakhtanians had ranted about “This is not North Korea” when challenged. It’s exactly the same behaviour you hear from violent knuckle-dragging white nationalists, who claim that they and only they stand between “white culture” and oblivion. For situations where the arrogant, hate-filled jerk tries to play the victim card, China Miéville says it far better than I can.

Indeed, an astoundingly small proportion of arguments ‘for free speech’ & ‘against censorship’ or ‘banning’ are, in fact, about free speech, censorship or banning. It is depressing to have to point out, yet again, that there is a distinction between having the legal right to say something & having the moral right not to be held accountable for what you say. Being asked to apologise for saying something unconscionable is not the same as being stripped of the legal right to say it. It’s really not very [expletive deleted] complicated. Cry Free Speech in such contexts, you are demanding the right to speak any bilge you wish without apology or fear of comeback. You are demanding not legal rights but an end to debate about & criticism of what you say. When did bigotry get so needy?

Quite.

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The Potemkin Suburb of the “53%”.

I’m really not sure what to make of these forelock-tugging serfs. Are they inhabitants of some Potemkin suburb? Do they have such a severe case of Stockholm Syndrome they’re incapable of thinking out of the box the wealthy elites have put them in?

Among the smug-looking posts, there’s one woman who lists a load of crappy low-paid freelance jobs, and insists she feels empowered, not exploited. And her entire income depends on the amount the super-rich have left after taxes.  Another claims her poverty is entirely the fault of her own bad decisions, and is all in favour of “free markets not handouts”. Except for handouts to the rich, of course. They don’t count.

I realise of course that the entire site is a probably some sort of Astroturf job, hastily put together by a few frightened right-wingers as a reaction against the increasingly large scale demonstrations in Washington demanding that the rich pay slightly higher taxes and the financial sector needs to be regulated a bit. It actually reads so  clumsily as propaganda that it’s entirely possible that it’s actually a left-wing parody of tea-party types.

Assuming it is for real, it evidently hasn’t occurred to these people that a much larger middle class who earn most of their living providing goods and services to each other will deliver far greater prosperity to a far greater number of people than their limited vision of a small middle class who survive by supplying goods and services to the elites. Certainly I know of few entrepreneurial types whose businesses depend on ordinary working people having the money to spend on the goods and services their businesses provide.

One day, the more extreme versions of supply-side economics these people have been conned into buying will be as discredited as Communism. Sure, it works for the wealthy elites, just as Communism worked for the apparatchiks. Perhaps one day, expressing an admiration for Ayn Rand will kill a career in business or politics as surely as admiring Hitler or Stalin does today.

 

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The Al-Queda of the West?

Apologies to music fans for this political ranting. There will be a review of High Voltage along shortly, a superb weekend, but for me the whole thing took place under the shadow of the terrible events in Norway on Friday.

While on the surface this seems a random and inexplicable event, it’s something many have warned was coming for a long time. The only surprise for me is that it happened in Europe rather than in North America.

Some commentators are still insisting that Anders Brevik was some kind of lone nut who wasn’t part of any wider political movement. They seem to ignore the fact that his rambling “manifesto” isn’t his own words, but is almost entirely cut-and-pasted from a slew of right-wing writers ranging from a number of notorious far-right bloggers to The Daily Mail’s racist columnist Melanie Phillips. This post on the once-infamous Little Green Footballs gives a lot background, and makes it clear why so many people thought Anders Brevik and the anonymous white supremacist blogger “Fjordman” were the same person. Charles Johnson of LGF used to run with that crowd until he realised where it was all heading – so he knows what he’s talking about here.

Since 9/11 we’ve seen a cross-Atlantic alliance of right-libertarians, extreme Christian fundamentalists and white nationalists with an ugly kind of Islamophobia as the ideological glue holding them together. They have become what looks an awful lot like an exact mirror image of Al-Queda, the same abhorrence of the mixing of cultures, and the same violent intolerance to anybody who isn’t exactly like them. And now they have perpetrated something of a 9/11 of their own.

Brevik may be “mad” or “evil”, but his madness has been marinaded for years in a toxic stew of far-right ideas, and at least some of the people whose writings have inspired him now have blood on their hands. Freedom of speech is an essential principle, a cornerstone of a functioning democracy. But those who use their freedom of speech to spread hatred and incite violence need to take responsibility for the consequences when others take their words at face value.

People talk about tolerance, but it has to a two-way street. The vast majority of sects and subcultures are benign and harmless, and deserve tolerance. A small minority are not, and any right to tolerance should instantly stop the moment the bodies start to pile up.

Edit: I had thought of titling this post “The 9/11 of the right”, but thought it too provocative. But I see Charlie Stross has done precisely that:

I’m just horrified by the scale of the event.

This is in Norway, a country of 5 million souls.

92 dead in Norway is … well, multiply by 60 for the equivalent proportion of Americans and you get over 5000 dead. Playing the numbers game with such a horror is distasteful, but it suggests to me that the political impact on Scandinavian and European anti-terror politics in general is going to be non-trivial to say the least.

This is the neo-Nazi 9/11. Breivik had links to the English Defense League and other racist right-wing groups. The folks who police and intel groups all over the west have been treating with kid gloves, compared to the islamicists, due to the explosive and barely-acknowledged fact that there’s wide-scale support for anti-immigrant views all over the west, especially anti-muslim views, and semi-respectable politicians playing these prejudices for personal careerist gain.

It’s a poisoned chalice. And I have no idea what this bodes for the future, other than: nothing good.

And I really can’t disagree with any of that.

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Norway

Like many others I’m struggling to make sense of the terrible events in Norway. What kind of twisted ideology could prompt someone to do this?

Some things I’ve read on the web this morning sent a chill down my spine and made me break out into a cold sweat.

Several years ago, I used to post reviews to the music and culture reviews site Blogcritics.org. I became disillusioned with the site after the increasing political content, and the sort of unpleasant people that content was attracting.

The last straw was when proprietor Eric Olsen gave a soap-box to very unpleasant anti-Islam hate pieces authored by a far-right Norwegian using the pseudonym “Fjordman”. I resigned from the site, because I didn’t want my own writing to be associated with what was clear to me was the writings of a neo-Nazi.

Now I see Twitter is awash with speculation that “Fjordman” and the perpetrator of the terrible massacre in Norway may be the same person. Even if they’re not, the likelihood that they both frequented the same murky corner of cyberspace is extremely high.

I feel dirty.

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I’m Not Paying For Any Royal Wedding!

Warning. This is a rant. If you’re here for the prog-rock reviews, move along, there’s nothing to see.

I never thought I’d start thinking like a republican (in the British sense, not the American or Irish sense!), but I wish the royal couple would just elope to Greta Green, and save the rest of us some hassle!

When Princess Diana died vast swathes of the country wore their emotional incontinence on their sleeves, indulging in recreational grief over someone they never met.  It left the other half of the country wondering if they were last sane person left in Britain.  The way I felt browbeaten into compulsory mass weeping left me profoundly alienated, at least until I realised many others felt the same way.  It did make me realise that the monarchy no longer represents the whole nation any more in any meaningful way.

The only people who care about the royal family now are tabloid-readers who see them as the ultimate reality TV soap opera, and a few old-school high Tories. And since I’m neither of those things, I’m beginning to object to being asked to pay for it all as a taxpayer, especially in these times of austerity and spending cuts.

But there’s a simple solution. If the royal’s fans are those who worship at the altar of celebrity, let the High Priest of celebrity culture pay for the bloody thing.  I’m sure Simon Cowell can afford it

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Hold on to the good

For the past eight years Fred Clark’s blog Slacktivist has been essential reading if you want to know what’s wrong with the world view of large parts of the religious right. He blogs a lot about the excesses of rightwing fundamentalism from an evangelical Christian perspective. Among other things he’s been dissecting the appalling but hugely popular “Left Behind” series of Tim LaHaye and Jerry Jenkins, pointing out not only how bad they are theologically, but why the utterly fail as literature. A constant theme is how a mindset based on fear and anger is completely at odds with what the central message of Christianity is supposed to be.

And he’s on form today:

Your aunt, unfortunately, didn’t mention either your name or hers when she drunk-dialed me Thursday to let me know I was at the top of the list of Bad People she’s praying against due to my supposedly contributing to your doubts about the inerrancy and infallibility of the footnotes in the Scofield Reference Bible.

Your aunt was too intoxicated — three sheets to the wind on self-righteous indignation — for me to make a great deal of sense of your situation or hers. She is, I think, your father’s sister, and she used to live in California, but now has an area code that Google tells me is in the really lovely part of Washington State. She seems to really enjoy telling people that if they believe in evolution then they don’t believe in the Bible. And by “the Bible” she’s apparently referring to some set of scriptures that includes the Complete Works of Hal Lindsey.

Read the whole thing.

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UK Election: The Aftermath.

Welcome to the election which everyone lost.  The voters have returned with a verdict of “none of the above”.

  • Labour have done as badly as they did in 1983, so they’re kidding themselves to say it’s anything other than a massive defeat. No way can Gordon Brown expect to stay in office.
  • The Tories have also lost. They were up against the most unpopular prime minister people can remember, in the middle of a recession, and 37% of the popular vote is the best they can manage. The verdict of the British people on them was “we don’t trust you guys with a majority, so we’re not going to give you one”.
  • The Liberal Democrats never expecting to form a majority government, but their goal was to get a big enough wedge of MPs to be able to form a majority with either of the other two parties.  That hasn’t happened, which is why they have also lost.

So now we’re in the post-election period while the parties investigate coalitions, and try to make deals. Commentators from countries with proportional voting (i.e. most countries) are bemused that so many people in Britain find this strange.  We seem to have three options:

  • A coalition (or some agreement short of a coalition) between the Tories and the Liberal Democrats. While the parties are right to enter discussions, I doubt that they’ll be able to hammer out a deal that both parties will be able to accept. The ‘Orange Book’ faction of the Liberals and David Cameron’s moderates may have something in common, but there are a sizeable section of both parties who’d consider such a deal to be anathema.
  • A minority Tory government, perhaps doing ad-hoc deals to get certain legislation through. At the moment I think this is most likely option, although it’s likely to end in a second election within a year.
  • A Lib/Lab coalition.  Sadly I think this is a non-starter; the numbers simply do not add up. They’ll be well short of a working majority, and nobody really wants to cut shady pork-barrel deals with the Scottish Nationalists or Democratic Unionists.
  • A grand coalition of all three parties as government of national unity, with David Cameron as Prime Minister. Possibly the least likely of all, and only justified if the problems with the economy are really as serious as some of the more apocalyptic commentators are suggesting.

Whatever happens next, we’re going to be living in interesting times. There’s been a lot of talk about electoral reform during and after this election.  Whether or not parties can work together successfully when no one party has a majority will be one test of whether or not both the British people and their politicians can deal with the results of an electoral system which would never give an overwhelming majority to a single party.

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Pat Robertson, Go to Hell

As many people know by now, fundie TV evangelist Pat Robertson has claimed that the terrible earthquake in Haiti is their own fault. All because they allegedly made a pact with The Devil 200 years ago.

The “pact with the devil” is a reference to the Voodoun [1] ceremony at Bois Caïman in 1791 which is widely accepted as the starting point of the Haitian revolution.

He’s got past form as a disaster ghoul; Hurricane Katrina was divine retribution for New Orlean’s Mardi Gras, and of course 9/11 was punishment for American not being a totalitarian theocracy that persecutes those icky gays and pagans. It shouldn’t need to be said that Robertson’s beliefs are far removed from orthodox Christianity. It’s a sort of syncretism of bronze-age Judaism (his Bible stops at the book of Judges) and the Manichean heresy.  But you can’t dismiss Pat Robertson as a fringe figure with no influence, like the infamous Fred Phelps. He’s still a major player in America’s conservative movement.

It’s time for all Christians, especially those who self-identify as conservatives, not just to distance themselves from individual statements of his, but to publically disown him, and condemn him in the most robust and undiplomatic language possible.  He’s the west’s answer to The Taliban.

[1] As you ought to know, Haitian Voodoun is really syncretism of tradition west African religion with bits of Roman Catholicism – any associations with devil worship[2]  comes from a combination of fundies believing all other religions are ‘of the devil’ and watching too many bad B-movie horror films.  Yes, as the Wikipedia article says, there are corrupt practitioners, but their method of operation seems remarkably similar to those of TV preachers like Pat Robertson.

[2] Satanism is basically Ayn Rand’s sociopathic Objectivism with a parody of Roman Catholic ritual sellotaped onto the front for flavouring.  It’s really all about teenage rebellion and really bad taste in music. [3]

[3] OK, so this post has managed to insult fundies, Randroids, Satanists and Venom fans.  I’d probably better stop here.

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Remember

Put next to a young boy
In a knee-deep trench
Whose hand even trembles
When he keeps it clenched
We attack tomorrow
In dawn’s early light
And as this sinks in
I’m so scared
I can’t wait for it and tonight
To be over

– Twelfth Night: Sequences

Welcome to Hell
Welcome to Hell on Earth
No need for sin
No sign of Man’s rebirth

– Magenta: The Ballad of Samuel Layne

Gather round reluctant marksmen
One of them to take his life
With a smile he gives them pardon
Leaves the dark and takes the light

They dispatch their precious cargo
Knock him back right off his feet
And they pray may no one follow
Better still to face the beast

When the field has become a garden
And the wall has stood the test
Children play and the dogs run barking
Who would think or who would guess

– Magnum: Les Morts Dansants.

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