Tag Archives: The Music Business

“It’ll be interesting to see what crawls out of the corpse”

So says Peter Gabriel discussing the future of the music business.  There’s no doubt the big business end of the music industry is in crisis, as the disruptive technology of broadband internet undermines the existing business model of the major labels.

While some people are running around screaming that the sky is falling in, and in the future there will be “nothing but X-factor finalists and people recording in their bedrooms”, I’m a lot more optimistic that good music will survive, and the (possible) fall of the major labels won’t actually be a bad thing.

Some predictions of mine:

  • There will be an even starker divide between the showbiz celebrity and the creative artist. Both have always existed, but rock’n'roll had traditionally managed to bridge the gap between the two.
  • X-Factor, having been exposed as a completely rigged farce, will implode the way Big Brother did as the public lose interest. This is probably as wishful thinking as Simon Cowell meeting a sudden end being crushed by a falling Mellotron, but one can dream.
  • The overall music scene will continue to fragment, with many niche genres of whom the general public will never be aware, promoted over the net rather than the mass media. A few of the best artists will cross over into the mainstream.
  • Illegal file-sharing will not kill recorded music. Those who can think outside the box will be able to make a living from recorded music, either from CD sales, legal downloads or subscription-based streaming services.
  • Fan funding in lieu of an advance from a label, as pioneered by Marillion, will become commonplace for artists working in niche genres.
  • Indie record labels will only survive if they can add enough value to justify their existence – acting as a quality filter for fans, and offering a higher profile than self-releasing for artists.
  • There will be a major shakeup at the BBC when someone in power realises that being joined at the hip to Universal Records is not compatible with the BBC charter – Radio 1 and 2 playlists get more interesting, and more diverse new music gets showcased on TV. They even broadcast the Download festival instead of Glastonbury. OK, so this is wishful thinking as well,
  • Interesting and challenging music will continue to be made, and some of it will manage to find an audience. As will a lot of formulaic drivel.

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The Dinosaur’s Business Model

On the latest blog on Helienne Lindvall’s Behind the Music, commenter “Rockard” completely nails the true agenda of the major record labels:

The market for songs is the same as any other market. Price is determined by the interplay of supply and demand. Songs could be sold at a higher price previously because their supply was restricted by the record companies and radio stations. You could only access them by buying an album, listening to the radio or going to a concert.

The ability to download and stream music along with the wider access that musicians can get for their songs means that effectively the supply curve has shifted to the left. Since this has happened, their whole strategy has been to try and shift that curve rightwards again by freezing the competition. The competition here isn’t just illegal sites but independent bands distributing their music online.

These record companies are not the artists’ friend. They are not music lovers. Their profits are maintained as much by who they don’t sign as by who they do. It should be no surprise that established artists support the anti piracy stance of the big companies as they also profit from the current barrier to entry.

There is no chance of a return to the old model so they need to be working on a new business model. Optimistically I see more live music and greater market segmentation, i.e alternative artists.

Yes, this is what I have been saying for years. I’ve always believed that the major labels hatred of downloading and filesharing had less to do with stopping people pirating U2 and Metallica, and more to do with stopping people discovering new music that they don’t own.

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Is this the worst music-related blog post of the year?

From a blog which claims to be “First in Music Analysis,  Lefsetz Letter we get this post about the concert business.

Maybe no one cares to the equivalent of a multiplatinum level anymore.  Maybe the live business has to give that paradigm up.  At least for a decade, until new acts are grown.

We want music that resonates.  And we want music.  Lady GaGa is outfits.  Katy Perry is so second rate she’s third rate.  The future looks more like the Kings Of Leon.  A band that’s been around for years that finally breaks through.  And doesn’t break the bank when it sets ticket prices.

Screw lawn tickets at a discount.  That’s like listening to music on your neighbor’s stereo.  How about getting a ticket for a developing artists show when you buy the ticket for a star.  We’ve got to get people sampling, we’ve got to get people coming to the show on a regular basis.

Since the post doesn’t allow comments, I’ll respond here.  Has it really not occurred to this guy to go out find music by himself rather than be a passive consumer of whatever is served up by the corporate biz?  There’s plenty of great music out there.  Every genre you can imagine and many more you can’t – you just have to look for it for yourself rather than wait to be spoon-fed.

Go and read a few music blogs; listen to last.fm, network online with other music fans. You might even make a few new friends that way.  Once you’ve realised there’s more to music than the narrow commercial mainstream you can go to club venues and see great bands for a fraction of the one-gig-a-year price for some has-been at a corporate enormodome.

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Memories of Woodstock collapses in a Heep

The Memories of Woodstock festival scheduled for next weekend in Shrewsbury has been cancelled.  The promoter had put together a very strong bill for lovers of progressive and classic rock, including Asia, Uriah Heep, Barclay James Harvest, Jethro Tull, Mostly Autumn, Wishbone Ash, Jefferson Starship and Curved Air. Unfortunately the chosen weekend clashed with both the Cambridge Rock Festival and Fish’s fan convention in Leamington Spa.

Some people had doubts about the promoter after another event at the same venue headlined by Fairport Convention was cancelled at very short notice due to poor ticket sales. Things started looking dicey when a number of bands pulled out a couple of weeks ago, most citing “circumstances beyond our control”.  Uriah Heep were a little more forthright.

Uriah Heep has withdrawn from headlining the Memories of Woodstock festival, 7 August 2009, after concerns emerged about the intent and the ability of the festival to deliver public safety, financial viability or the basic logistics needed to present a festival of lofty ambition.

We are advised that all ticket purchasers are entitled to a refund as the festival terms and conditions do not allow for changes of artists.

This led to a war of words in the press, with the promoter complaining about false accusations and threatening legal action. Since that quote is still on front page of Uriah Heep’s website, I can assume that no legal action has materialised, so it’s safe to reproduce it here.

Uriah Heep have since been added to the bill for the Cambridge Rock Festival, replacing Jefferson Starship, who’d also withdrawn from MoW, and whose UK visit was no longer financially viable for only one appearance.

On Friday, Jethro Tull and Mostly Autumn both pulled out. An email from Jethro Tull’s management circulated widely on the forums of various bands pulled no punches.

“Tull are now officially out of the MOW festival due to the promoter being 2 months late with the deposit (not to mention the balance)! Despite many extensions of payment dates from our end and the offer to reduce the artist fee this week, Brian Davies (promoter) has just told me that he cannot pay. I believe that it is due to terrible sales and his lack of financial planning.

Please can you pass this e-mail onto anyone that you think might benefit from knowing. He assures me that he will reimburse buyers back if they so wish. His phone number is on his New Dawn Events website.

We at the Tull camp are very angry at Brian Davies for stringing this along for so long. We are sorry for all those fans who were expecting a whole weekend of great bands, most of whom, have now pulled out for the same reasons”.

By now the writing was pretty much on the wall, so it was hardly surprising when this appeared on the New Dawn Events website

Its with a very heavy and sad heart that due to certain people telling blatant lies these festivals have been cancelled. It is a sad case of affairs when people think of money before love and peace” – Brian Davies

It is with huge regret that we have to notify that the Memories of Woodstock event and Crathes Castle event are now Cancelled.

The Memories of Woodstock  project  was the brainchild of Mr Brian Davies who wanted to celebrate the 40 years anniversary of the best music festival in history. Unfortunately there are people in this world who do not share this vision.

Rumours that had been put out and circulating regarding this festival were completly fabricated and scurrilous which resulted in poor ticket sales and eventually led to the cancelling of this great event.

During the current economic climate we felt that we should give the public a festival that would give absolute value for money, however, it  is obvious there are people out there who do not wish this to happen, but we will strive forward on a mission to give the public what they should always have and that is…   “Great music at a great price with no hidden extras”.

I don’t think there are any winners in this sorry tale, with the possible exception of the Cambridge Rock Festival, who are now offering discounted entry for holders of MoW tickets.

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Sausage of the Year Award

Why do people still take the Mercury Music Prize seriously?  In it’s early years it may have picked a few innovative and creative acts, but recently it’s become nothing more than an extension of the music industry PR machine. The shortlist makes depressing reading with it’s over-hyped usual suspects and entirely predictable absence of entire genres.

As commenter Jonana puts it:

Anyway, what are you talking about, other genres of music? I thought nothing outside timid electronica and ‘indie’ pop-rock, with a token folk presence, was produced by anyone anywhere ever.

Naturally the sheeple don’t realise there’s anything else out there than what’s spoon-fed by mainstream media. This is falsely presented as ‘real music’ in opposition to Simon Cowell’s gunk. They don’t seem to realise it’s another product from the same sausage factory.

Sometimes I wonder who are the Mercury judges are.  I’m guessing they’re Jo Whiley, Conor McNicholas, Simon Cowell, Michael Eavis and one randomly-selected 11-year old.

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Why “Three Strikes and You’re Out” won’t work.

On The Guardian Music Blog, U2′s manager Paul McGuinness praises France’s proposed “3 strikes and you’re out” laws on internet piracy.

Amidst the posts sneering at U2 (Guardian blog commenters absolutely hate U2 with a passion I can never quite understand), commenter Iainl sums up precisely why this proposed law is dangerously flawed.

I don’t pirate music. And I’m certainly not depriving you of any funds. But I still don’t want to be kicked off the internet just because some kid has randomly used my address as the spoof field when hiding their tracks – something that is already so common in email as to be totally unworkable.

That just about knocks the nail on the head.  With their past record of Mafia-like behaviour, I don’t even trust the media cartels to be able to distinguish between use of legitimate streaming sites like Spotify or Last.fm and illegal downloaders. And who’s to say the next time somebody in the record industry gets into a dispute with a legal file-streaming site over the level of royalty payments that they won’t respond by using this law to threaten that site’s users with disconnection?  Vague promises from record companies that they won’t do things like that are worthless.  Once such a law is on the statute books, somebody sufficiently nasty-minded or greedy will try to abuse it in that sort of way.

Even though I wish every major record company to go to the wall, I’m all in favour of creative types earning a fair reward for their efforts.  But I don’t trust the existing media cartels to do it for them. With their own long track record of ripping off their creative talent they don’t exactly have any moral high ground on which to stand.

And surely the big record companies are largely responsible for letting the download culture “music should be free” genie out the bottle in the first place, by spending too much effort trying in vain to prop up an obselete business model rather than attempting to devise a new one.

To give one example, one of the biggest drivers of illegal file-sharing sites has been the fact that the legal downloading sites wasted years crippling their products with DRM, which was something the marketplace clearly didn’t want. If you were foolish enough to hand over money for a DRM-crippled download, you merely rented the music for a random amount of time. Sooner or later you’d upgrade you media player, or the company you ‘bought’ the download from will decide to shut down the DRM authentication server, and your file will no longer play. You were simply better off pirating it from a file-sharing site.

By the time they realised that DRM was a crock and started selling the DRM-free downloads the marketplace wanted in the first place, illegal file-sharing was too well established. It’s now far harder for legitimate substription-based downloading sites to get going than it would have been had the cartels not tried in vain to strangle downloading at birth.

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The Future of the Music Biz, part 112b

From the blog of John Grubb, bassist for Railroad Earth

The record industry used to exist because recording was very expensive. It was expensive to record a song, it was expensive to reproduce the recording of the song, and it was really expensive to warehouse, distribute, and sell the recording of that song. Thus a whole industry cropped up to take advantage of the fact that the barrier to entry for your average recording artist, say Ma Carter out of the hills around Bristol VA, was so astronomically high that nobody really thought about releasing their own music. Show up, play my tunes, get paid for them? Okay! This worked great for long enough for the basic oligarchic framework of the major label system to rise to power.

And nowadays with recording technology being so much cheaper, it’s possible to record a great-sounding album on a very limited budget, which means bands can self-release without having to sell their souls to a record company. Albums like The Reasoning’s “Dark Angel” and Breathing Space’s “Coming Up for Air” didn’t cost a fortune to record, but sound as good as many major-label releases.

I have to ask whether there’s any point to the majors any more, when all they seem to churn out are formulaic acts who are all hype and no substance. With their track record of ripping off creative talent, suing their best customers, and generally throwing their weight around in order to block technological changes that threaten their existing heavily-flawed business model, I think artists, fans and music in general will be better off when the whole lot of them go to the wall.

Meanwhile I’m getting frustrated with Helienne Lindvall’s weekly column Behind the Music in the on The Guardian Music Blog.  While sometimes an interesting read, she doesn’t seem interested in anything that doesn’t revolve around the major record companies. It’s too much about what will shortly become the record industry of the past, rather than looking to the music business of the future.

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The Long Tail

There’s been a lot of talk on the interweb tubes recently about The Long Tail advocated by Chris Anderson, which suggests that businesses can be profitable serving niche markets rather than concentrating on big hits.  Since my musical tastes are well outside the commercial mainstream, I’ve got a vested interest in the long tail – I’d much rather listen to someone like Panic Room than Leona Lewis.

Helienne Lindvall, writing in the Guardian, cites a survey that appears to question the existence of the long tail, but on closer examination appears to show that’s she hasn’t really understood what the long tail theory says; you’ll get no understanding of the length or width of the tail when you’re not looking below the neck. Quite a few commenters have pointed this out, although you should ignore the twit who equates going to a gig where a member of the band greets you by name with ‘giving money to buskers’.

The Jinni Blog makes a very imporatant point, that the real importance of the Long Tail is not economic, but cultural. If you’re only interested in the size of Simon Cowell’s bank balance or which corporate indie clone bands get playlisted on Radio One, then you might not care about the long tail.  But as far as I’m concerned, the long tail is where most of the worthwhile music can be found.  More importantly, it’s where the mainstream will be getting it’s new ideas from.

Just about all the music I love lies deep within the long tail.  Of my top ten albums of 2008, no less than seven were purchased directly from the band, either from their websites or from merchandise stands at gigs. And four of those were pre-orders, where fans pay for an album before it’s recorded, instead of the band getting an advance from a record company.

Long live the tail.

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50 Years of Independent Music

The infamous Guardian Music Blog has a posting which starts with “let’s celebrate fifty years of independent music”.

Unfortunately the sub-editor insisted on giving it a title with the word “indie”. So naturally the majority of commenters aren’t thinking beyond scratchy 1980s post-punk or jangly guitar pop. Only a brave few thought of 70s labels like Island or Charisma; apparently the majority opinion was that there was nothing ‘independent’ until punk came along. OK, so the 1980s may have been the heyday of the independent label; but nowadays, ‘independent’ means not bothering with a record company at all.

When you come to ‘independant’ rather than ‘indie’, nothing epitomises the DIY ethic more strongly to me than underground second and third generation prog bands. Here we have a genre ignored or derided by mainstream critics, and sneeringly dismissed by hipper-than-thou self appointed guardians of musical taste. Yet on small prog-orientated labels, sometimes owned by the bands themselves, the genre is not only alive, but thriving.

These are five of the best from the 90s and 00s:

  • Marillion – Anoraknophobia (Racket Records)
  • Karnataka – Delicate Flame of Desire (Immramma)
  • Mostly Autumn – The Last Bright Light (Cyclops)
  • Porcupine Tree – Lightbulb Sun (Snapper)
  • IQ – Subterrania (Giant Electric Pea)

Marillion may have started their career on EMI, but it was the fan-financed release of “Anoraknophobia” that marked a significant milestone in the way non-mainstream music is created and released. Nowadays getting fans to pre-order in lieu of a record company advance is quite common practice, but Marillion did it first, a fact often ignored by mainstream scribblers.

I think it’s artists like these that represent the future of the music business. Not that everybody is going sound remotely like them, of course. But they represent the growing legions of underground bands, building long-term relationships with their fanbases, controlling their own destinies and completely immune to short-term fads and fashions. Free from having to fund the overheads of a big record company, they’ve proved that recording and touring on a smaller scale can be economically viable.

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