Tag Archives: EU Referendum

Don’t fall for it

Look, I know it’s tempting to vote Leave just to give David Cameron a bloody nose. You’re all pissed off with deteriorating public services and falling standards of living. But don’t fall for Vote Leave’s lies that it’s all the fault of the EU and migrants. It’s six years of Tory cuts that caused that.

Cameron is probably toast whatever happens now. Only Remain winning by an overwhelming majority will save his premiership, and that’s not going to happen. Voting Leave will only see Cameron replaced by something even worse.

Leaving the EU is at best a desperare gamble, and the Leave campaign have completely failed to articulate their vision of how Britain outside the EU will look. But it will almost certainly leave Britain a less prosperous place, with less opportunity for you and your family. By the time it’s your job that’s lost in the economic downturn, it will be too late.

I’m probably just preaching to the choir here, but it needs to be said.

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The Return of Tony Blair?

LetMeFuckAHorse(From the entertaingly silly Tumblr Comment is Weird)

OK, the very last part about the Second Coming of Tony Blair is far-fetched, but the rest of it far more plausible. Whichever way the referendum on June 23rd goes, it’s going to force a major realignment in British politics in which neither the Conservative or Labour parties are likely to survive in their present form. A split in both parties looks inevitable.

The outcome of the referendum, for better or for worse, is going to shape British politics for a generation. Our present party system is a legacy of the 20th century struggle between labour and capital. The EU referendum cuts across that divide; it’s really between internationalism and parochialism. So we find the trade unions and the financial houses of The City on the same side, and see both the populist right and the old-school hard left on the other.

The next few years and the next couple of Parliaments will be messy. We may eventually end up with parties called “Labour” and “Conservative” which bear little resemblance to the parties of today, or we may see completely new parties emerge to replaced them. But whatever happens, the politics of the new few decades won’t look much like the politics of the last century.

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Brexit would be Jeremy Corbyn’s fault.

Good post by Robert Peston on Facebook, in which he puts his finger on the problem with Jeremy Corbyn’s handling of the EU referendum campaign, in a rather better way that Mick Hucknall’s ham-fisted twittering.

So the question is why Corbyn has not been more conspicuous and passionate in campaigning to remain.

There are three arguments put to me by his despairing colleagues:

1) his heart isn’t in it, because he loathes Brussels, and he detests Cameron more;

2) he doesn’t have experience of campaigning in the mainstream on mainstream issues;

3) he thinks Brexit or an ultra narrow victory for Remain would see the PM toppled and the Tory party fracture.

If any of that is true, Corbyn would be taking a huge personal risk.

The point is that whether he likes it or not, he is the head of a major party campaigning to keep us in the EU.

And his colleagues tell me that if we opt for Brexit, when Cameron is bundled from office, Corbyn would be defenestrated and ejected from the leadership too.

If the worst happens on June 23rd, it will be as much the fault of Jeremy Corbyn as Cameron or Osborne.

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You’re not one of the cool people unless Mick Hucknall has blocked you

It seems that Mick Hucknall of Simply Red has blocked me on Twitter.

Yesterday he got into a Twitter fight with Jeremy Corbyn and his supporters, in which Labour officials called him a political and musical has-been. He then started blocking everyone who even mentioned his name, regardless of context, and not just people who mentioned him by his @mjhucknall Twitter ID. For a while his name was a trending topic on Twitter, and half the tweets were “Why has Mick Hucknall blocked me”?

What sort of person doesn’t just look at their Notification column but ego-searches their name too? Previously I’d had absolutely no opinion on Mick Hucknall or his music. His world simply didn’t intersect with mine. Now, on the evidence of his behaviour he comes over as a narcissist who dishes it out but can’t take it.

The irony was that his criticism of Corbyn was at least partly justified. I’ve said very similar things myself.

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Viaducts and the European Union

A photo from back in 2006 of the viaduct at Tellenberg, Switzerland, showing a northbound frirght train.

Note the two viaducts; the elegant masonry one dating from the original openng of the line in the early year of the 20th century, and the more utilitarian modern structure alongside it, built to accomodate increasing traffic in the 1970s.

Switzerland is not in the EU, but the formation of the EU had a big impact on this railway line. It’s the Bern Lötchbern Simplon railway, part of a chain of lines linking Italy to northern Europe via the Simplon tunnel.

Why did traffic increase in the years after World War Two such that this like across the Alps needed to be widened at great expense? One reason was surely the formation of the European Union, which resulted in greatly increased trade between northern and southern Europe.

Think about this on June 23rd. How much trade between Britain and the rest of Europe might be put at risk in the event of a Leave vote? And how many jobs will that put as risk?

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Purity politics works against getting things done

Good piece by Ian Dunt on the way purity politics has spread from the Toytown worlds of student unions and social media activism to infect the world of real politics, and has a negative impact of the ability to make positive change in the real world

There are two options in politics: stay pure and accomplish nothing, or compromise and affect change. No one ever changed anything on the basis of moral purity. The history of radical change is the history of principled men and women making painful compromises. It’s terribly easy to sit on the sofa and shout righteous indignation at the television. It’s much harder to work on how to expand the audience which might be interested in your campaign, to convert those who might be open to some of your ideas. But as soon as you do that, as soon as you get into the mucky business of debate and compromise and practicality, there will always be people out there calling you a traitor to the cause.

It’s always been like that, but right now it’s worse than ever. Much of the blame must surely rest with the digital echo chambers of social media, the daily self-propaganda machine in which we can surround ourselves with those who already think like us and then shriek with outrage when the it turns out the world does not agree.

It’s making us incapable of nuance or compromise and highly sensitive to the visuals of cooperation, which we take to be a sign of corruption. That’s where the online and student debate is. And mainstream politics is just now learning to profit from it. The SNP and the Tories have proved highly adept at it. And Labour, previously the victim of these efforts, is now gearing up to use the same rhetoric itself. The frenzied tactics of student politics and Twitter shouting matches are increasingly the common currency in Westminster.

The way the falout from the Scottish referendum campaign deeply damaged Labour’s brand north of the border suggests that the electorate is as guilty as the parties. But it would be a tragedy if the parties, especially Labour, were to risk the European referendum to be lost purely for short-term electoral advantage.

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Time for Remain to get its act together.

An opinion poll showing a narrow lead for Leave in the EU Referendum ought to be ringing alarm bells. While it’s just one poll, and it’s too early to tell if it’s just a statistical fluke, it’s time for the Remain camp to get its act together before it’s too late.

At the moment, Remain campaign is a complete car crash. Nobody trust David Cameron, who’s increasingly seen as a cynical opportunist with no deeply-held principles beyond personal ambition. And Jeremy Corbyn is completely useless; his enthusiasm for Remain comes over as luke-warm at best. Neither seems to care as much about Britain’s future in or out Europe as they do fighting internal battles within their own parties. Corbyn’s refusal to share a platform with Cameron because reasons is simply pathetic. The Liberal Democrats speak with one voice, but nobody is listening and the media ignore them.

It says a lot that the most positive and most enthusiastic piece I’ve read in favour of Remain comes from, of all people, Jeremy Clarkson.

The result matters at lot.

A Leave vote will leave Britain a nastier, meaner, more xenophobic place as well as a less prosperous one unless you’re already rich, and is highly likely to herald the break-up of Britain. The Scottish Nationalists have already stated they will seek a second referendum in the event of a Leave vote, and the danger of unleashing dark forces in Northern Ireland’s politics can’t be dismissed.

The stakes are far higher than the careers of any Prime Minister or would-be Prime Minister.

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Boris is the British Trump

Boris Johnson’s attack on Barack Obama belongs in the gutter, says Nick Cohen in The Spectator, not mincing his words.

I am therefore writing with the caution of a lawyer and the deference of a palace flunkey when I say that Johnson showed this morning that he is a man without principle or shame. He is a braying charlatan, who lacks the courage even to be an honest bastard, for there is a kind of bastardly integrity in showing the world who you really are, but instead uses the tactics of the coward and the tricks of the fraudster to advance his worthless career.

Boris doesn’t care whether Britain leaves the EU or not. It’s all just a means to an end in his ambition to become Prime Minister. He has no underlying principles whatsoever; everything he says or does is based on cynical calculation around what he thinks his audience wants to hear.

The parallels with Donald Trump run far deeper than the terrible hair. If Boris thought being a massive racist would gain him support, he’d be as racist as Trump. The fact that he isn’t says more about the British people than it says about him.

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How come they trust us to decide on Britain’s future in the EU when they can’t even trust us to name a boat?

Posted on by Tim Hall | 2 Comments

Why I’m voting Remain

EU Logo The European Union in deeply flawed, and structured in a way that makes it difficult to reform. It has a very bad democratic deficit. It’s handling the Syrian refugee crisis very, very badly. And the implementation of the Euro was an ill-conceived mess that we were right to have kept out of.

But for all its flaws, I’m voting Remain in the referendum in June. Because remaining in Europe is still far better than the alternative. What the EU does will continue to effect the UK whether we’re still in it or not, and we cannot influence or reform something if we’re we’re no longer a member. Love it or loathe it, the EU matters.

At best, voting to leave the European Union is a reckless gamble.

At worst, it’s a decisive move towards a meaner, nastier vision of Britain that will be a worse place to live in for everyone other than the wealthy elites. Look at some of Tory Brexiter Priti Patel’s comments about British workers being the laziest in the world and her demands that the life of the young must be all work and no play so that Britain can compete with the sweatshops of the far east. That’s the vision of the people who want us to leave.

Looking at the faces of the “Out” campaign; it’s like a rogues gallery of the worst people in British politics. Almost all of them are those who believe that the Social Democratic values at the heart of the European project are an anathema. There are a few leftist troglodytes who still believe in a Soviet-style command economy, but the majority are ideologues who have read far too much Ayn Rand, or the out-of-touch nostalgic for the days of Empire.

We’ve got Nigel Farage, about whom more than enough has been said. We’ve got the loathsome and repellent George Galloway. We’ve got new-age conspiracy moonbat David Icke. We’ve got the utterly cynical opportunist Boris Johnson. The bulk of them are the worst half of the Tory party, typified by Iain Duncan-Smith, one of the few people I’m willing to use the word “Evil” to describe. There is a Labour Out campaign, but it’s a motley assortment of has-beens and B-listers; all the big hitters of the party are on the “In” side.

And what about the rest of the world? Paddy Ashdown stated today that all of Britain’s NATO allies want us to remain. Who wants us to leave? French neo-fascist leader Marine Le Pen for one. And Vladimir Putin.

If you vote to leave the EU, those are the people you are siding with.

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